Sunday, 17 May 2009

YouGov poll shows 34% "would consider" voting Green

In a YouGov poll to be released tomorrow (Monday 18 May), 34% of respondents
said they would either definitely be voting Green or would consider voting
Green. This is the highest percentage ever to indicate potential support for
the Greens.

Interestingly, the largest group who would consider switching were LibDem
voters. It's far more common for the Greens to attract former Labour voters,
who were the second largest group considering switching. Also interesting
was the fact that around one-fifth of those considering switching were
Conservative voters - the group normally the least likely to switch to
Green.

**Potential Green surge?**

With the expenses row in full flow, and UKIP considered unlikely to benefit
from voters' anger at other parties' sleaze thanks to its own
frequently-criticised record, the Greens are not ruling out a potential
surge like that in 1989, when 2.2 million Britons voted Green in the
European elections.

But even a much smaller swing from the big three could be enough to win new
Green seats in several regions, as well as holding the party's existing
seats in London and the South East.

**Green support in general polls jumps from 6% to 11%**

A general voter-intention poll this week for the _Sun_ newspaper found that
6% were definitely intending to vote Green.

But in a poll commissioned by UKIP and published today, the Greens are
showing on 11% - enough to win seats in several regions beyond the existing
seats in London and South East.

The Greens have pointed out that they are often underestimated in opinion
polls ahead of European elections. For example in 1989 pre-election polls
were showing the Greens on 7-8%, but the actual Green vote turned out to be
15%.

**Greens determined to deny BNP leader a parliamentary seat**

In the North West the Green campaign includes an especially strong element
geared to keeping BNP leader Nick Griffin out of the European Parliament. In
the North West, the big three parties are expected to take seven seats - and
the eighth will almost certainly go, as usual, to the highest-polling of the
smaller parties. So if the Greens finish ahead of the BNP, the Greens will
take the eighth seat and Nick Griffin's electoral ambitions will be
thwarted.

Peter Cranie, top Green candidate in the North West, commented:

"This 34% is the best indication we've ever had that people would consider
voting Green.

"And the other poll showing us at 11% is extremely encouraging, not least
because the Greens have always been underestimated in polls before
Euro-elections. In 1989 we were showing at 7-8% but we got 15%. And we only
need about 8% in some regions to win seats

"We do expect that the current disenchantment with the big three parties
will prompt more people to take a second look at the Greens. Our
Euro-election broadcast has been very well received and we believe our
million-jobs manifesto is going to strike a chord with a lot of people.

"When it comes down to it, we're the only party in this election that (a)
isn't mired in sleaze and (b) is putting forward a positive vision."

He added: "There is still a lot of speculation about disillusioned Labour
voters voting BNP as a protest. But I really can't see why left-of-centre
voters would want to vote for the extremist far right.

"And it would be too ironic for UKIP to pick up votes off the back of other
parties' sleaze."

**Greens hit the mark with campaign themes**

The poll also asked which issues the Green Party should focus on in its
campaigning. The top two answers, both on 40%, were economy and
environment/climate change - the two issues the Green Party had already
selected to focus on for the local and European elections. The party's
Euro-election manifesto was titled _"It's the economy, stupid"_ - a
tongue-in-cheek reference to US President's Bill Clinton's election-winning
watchword and to the Greens' belief that only massive investment in green
industries can tackle climate change.

**Notes**

1. The YouGov poll regarding voter intentions was commissioned by the Green
Party and asked only about whether respondents would consider voting Green.

2. The exact question regarding campaign themes was: "Thinking about the
next twelve months which three or four of the following areas do you think
the Green Party should make its priorities for campaigning? [Please tick up
to four options.]"

3. The YouGov poll surveyed 2,046 adults in Great Britain.

URL: http://www.greenparty.org.uk/news/2009-05-17-poll.html

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1. 2. 3. Rupert's Read: YouGov poll shows 34% "would consider" voting Green 4. 12. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 23. 24.

25. 26. YouGov poll shows 34% "would consider" voting Green 27. 28.

29.
In a YouGov poll to be released tomorrow (Monday 18 May), 34% of respondents
said they would either definitely be voting Green or would consider voting
Green. This is the highest percentage ever to indicate potential support for
the Greens.

Interestingly, the largest group who would consider switching were LibDem
voters. It's far more common for the Greens to attract former Labour voters,
who were the second largest group considering switching. Also interesting
was the fact that around one-fifth of those considering switching were
Conservative voters - the group normally the least likely to switch to
Green.

**Potential Green surge?**

With the expenses row in full flow, and UKIP considered unlikely to benefit
from voters' anger at other parties' sleaze thanks to its own
frequently-criticised record, the Greens are not ruling out a potential
surge like that in 1989, when 2.2 million Britons voted Green in the
European elections.

But even a much smaller swing from the big three could be enough to win new
Green seats in several regions, as well as holding the party's existing
seats in London and the South East.

**Green support in general polls jumps from 6% to 11%**

A general voter-intention poll this week for the _Sun_ newspaper found that
6% were definitely intending to vote Green.

But in a poll commissioned by UKIP and published today, the Greens are
showing on 11% - enough to win seats in several regions beyond the existing
seats in London and South East.

The Greens have pointed out that they are often underestimated in opinion
polls ahead of European elections. For example in 1989 pre-election polls
were showing the Greens on 7-8%, but the actual Green vote turned out to be
15%.

**Greens determined to deny BNP leader a parliamentary seat**

In the North West the Green campaign includes an especially strong element
geared to keeping BNP leader Nick Griffin out of the European Parliament. In
the North West, the big three parties are expected to take seven seats - and
the eighth will almost certainly go, as usual, to the highest-polling of the
smaller parties. So if the Greens finish ahead of the BNP, the Greens will
take the eighth seat and Nick Griffin's electoral ambitions will be
thwarted.

Peter Cranie, top Green candidate in the North West, commented:

"This 34% is the best indication we've ever had that people would consider
voting Green.

"And the other poll showing us at 11% is extremely encouraging, not least
because the Greens have always been underestimated in polls before
Euro-elections. In 1989 we were showing at 7-8% but we got 15%. And we only
need about 8% in some regions to win seats

"We do expect that the current disenchantment with the big three parties
will prompt more people to take a second look at the Greens. Our
Euro-election broadcast has been very well received and we believe our
million-jobs manifesto is going to strike a chord with a lot of people.

"When it comes down to it, we're the only party in this election that (a)
isn't mired in sleaze and (b) is putting forward a positive vision."

He added: "There is still a lot of speculation about disillusioned Labour
voters voting BNP as a protest. But I really can't see why left-of-centre
voters would want to vote for the extremist far right.

"And it would be too ironic for UKIP to pick up votes off the back of other
parties' sleaze."

**Greens hit the mark with campaign themes**

The poll also asked which issues the Green Party should focus on in its
campaigning. The top two answers, both on 40%, were economy and
environment/climate change - the two issues the Green Party had already
selected to focus on for the local and European elections. The party's
Euro-election manifesto was titled _"It's the economy, stupid"_ - a
tongue-in-cheek reference to US President's Bill Clinton's election-winning
watchword and to the Greens' belief that only massive investment in green
industries can tackle climate change.

**Notes**

1. The YouGov poll regarding voter intentions was commissioned by the Green
Party and asked only about whether respondents would consider voting Green.

2. The exact question regarding campaign themes was: "Thinking about the
next twelve months which three or four of the following areas do you think
the Green Party should make its priorities for campaigning? [Please tick up
to four options.]"

3. The YouGov poll surveyed 2,046 adults in Great Britain.

URL: http://www.greenparty.org.uk/news/2009-05-17-poll.html

30. 31. 32.